Conflict Early Warning & Assessment


 

 

Programs

 

 
The Failed States Index itself is just one of the many capabilities of The Fund for Peace’s content analysis software. The software has many other applications including specific risk assessment, and in-depth national-, regional- and provincial-level analysis.

Along with the Failed States Index, The Fund for Peace’s Conflict Assessment Software Tool (CAST) has been the foundation of the Fund for Peace’s Country Assessments Reports Service and Country Profiles Program, using the content analysis to provide in-depth assessments country-by-country.

CAST has been used to perform analysis at a sub-regional level, from providing an assessment following the floods in Pakistan’s Sindh province to demonstrating how the situations in Mindanao in the south of the Philippines and Luzon in the north can be significantly different. Such regional-level analysis is critical in properly understanding state instability. As nations vary greatly from one another, often the regions within countries will also vary greatly. A country with a significant amount of instability in one region may be perceived as itself unstable overall, although the rest of the country is not experiencing instability. Instances such as these may include countries like Colombia (where although the FARC insurgency continues deep in the jungles and along the frontiers, the major cities such as Bogota, Medillin, Cali and Cartagena enjoy relative calm) or the Philippines (where the situation in the capital Manila is significantly different to that experienced in the southern island of Mindanao). This regional analysis can not only further expand the understanding of a country’s situation, but can also be used to highlight precisely where the pressure points exist for a country, and under precisely what conditions.

This analysis, coupled with regional contextualization, provides a unique informational tool for policy-makers to identify serious pressures and to enact sensible, well-informed policies.

Our Conflict and Early Warning and Assessment Programs:


Failed States Index

The Failed States Index is an annual ranking of 178 nations based on their levels of stability and capacity. First published in 2005, the Failed States Index continues to be a globally recognized, frequently cited and widely praised research product of an independent non-governmental organization that addresses key 21st century international security challenges. Read More...


Country Profiles

As an extension to the Failed States Index, the Fund for Peace provides further in-depth analysis on many of the world''s countries. This analysis is based on the data derived annually from the Failed States Index as well as qualitative analysis performed by Fund for Peace staff. Read More...


Content Analysis and Assessment

Along with the Failed States Index, The Fund for Peace’s Conflict Assessment Software Tool (CAST) has been the foundation of the Fund for Peace’s Country Assessments Reports Service and Country Profiles Program, using the content analysis to provide in-depth assessments country-by-country. Read More...


UNLocK Project

One of the ever-present challenges in conflict early warning and post-conflict reconstruction is obtaining relevant and reliable data. Too often, data used by governments, NGOs, international organizations, and the private sector are dated, uneven or questionable. The most persistent shortcoming is the absence of input from populations living in conflict zones, whose perspectives are vital for accurate analysis. To address this challenge, The Fund for Peace has developed UNLocK, a project that links global information technologies with local social networks for the benefit of all stakeholders. Read More...